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Showing posts with label finance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label finance. Show all posts

Sunday, June 15, 2025

Financially independent but still working? It’s a possibility worth exploring

There’s nothing wrong with Financial Independence, Retire Early as a goal, but true financial freedom can look very different from the picture this ethos paints. (Illustration: CNA/Samuel Woo, iStock)

Over the past decade, the FIRE movement (Financial Independence, Retire Early) has been gaining widespread popularity online, inspiring and motivating more people to manage their money better in order to retire sooner.

Some fantasise about how they can “fire” their boss once they retire early. Others dream of being able to stop working entirely to spend time on family or passion projects.


There’s nothing wrong with FIRE as a goal, but true financial freedom can look very different from the picture this ethos paints. 

NO LONGER TRAPPED BY OUR NEXT PAY CHEQUE

The relationship between our work and finances is a tightly entwined one – most of us need our next pay cheque in order to cover our living expenses and bills, so we keep working. As such, it can be easy to equate the idea of “financial freedom” with that of “freedom from work”. 

But in reality, financial independence and early retirement are two distinct, different things. 


Not everyone wants to stop working. Studies show that purpose and productivity are essential for our long-term happiness – even post-retirement. 

Many who reach financial independence continue working, not because they have to but because they want to. But what financial freedom really gives us is the power to make decisions about how we work without worrying too much about financial repercussions. It allows us to choose roles that align with our values, take breaks when needed, or say no to toxic work environments. 

When we're no longer trapped by the need to rely heavily on our next pay cheque, we gain the freedom to work for our own growth and purpose. 

WHAT IS YOUR VERSION OF FIRE?

The original FIRE ethos called for saving aggressively (usually more than half your income) and investing wisely so you can retire early. It sounded great in theory, but for most, it often required high income and extreme frugality. 

Today, the FIRE movement has evolved to encompass varying definitions of financial independence. It is no longer about reaching an end goal, but more about the type of lifestyle we desire and the level our finances will need to hit in order to support our aspirations. 

For instance, “Lean FIRE” refers to a minimalist lifestyle where you retire with a lower budget. There’s also “Barista FIRE”, describing a point where withdrawing from your savings and investments can cover your major expenses and bills, while you supplement the shortfall with part-time or passion-based work (such as being a barista).

The original FIRE ethos called for saving aggressively and investing wisely so you can retire early. It sounded great in theory, but for most, it often required high income and extreme frugality. (Photo: iStock)

These newer variations of FIRE may seem like dilutions or compromises – but in reality, they are just as true to the core essence of financial freedom. 

True financial freedom empowers us with choice rather than demanding retirement. It should mean more options, not less. 

This shift in mindset can be liberating. Instead of chasing a retirement date or age, we can focus on building a lifestyle where money supports flexibility, purpose, and well-being rather than escape.

Perhaps you might decide to stay in your current job, but negotiate fewer work hours that would allow you to care for your children or ailing parents. You might explore part-time roles, start a small business, or pull a Jeremy Tan and pursue advocacy for change (even if it’s not as an independent candidate in a general election). 

ARE WE LOOKING FOR ESCAPE, OR A BETTER BALANCE? 

Out of all the people I know who’ve successfully achieved financial independence, the happiest ones are those who never quit working – but it’s not because they particularly love slogging. 

A friend downsized his role to two days a week to spend more time looking after his mother after her cancer diagnosis. Another stopped chasing yearly pay increments and started mentoring juniors instead, finding deeper fulfilment in growing the next generation than a fatter pay cheque.



Clearly, the real problem isn’t work itself – many people find meaning, identity, and purpose through their work. Rather, it is the lack of control over what, how, when, and why we work that has us dissatisfied.

Financial freedom can still mean not working at all, but it’s important for us to understand that this isn’t the only version of true freedom. 

Maybe it’ll mean a smaller pay cheque, but while it may look to others like you’re settling for less, you’re in fact gaining more in time, autonomy, and peace of mind.

Ironically, when we do work that we’re passionate about – work that energises us instead of draining us – we are much more likely to stay the course.

WE DON’T HAVE TO WAIT

Even so, I get why FIRE remains so popular not just in Singapore but around the world. 

Trying to achieve financial security is getting trickier and trickier, especially in a world where inflation only seems to keep climbing and job stability is quickly vanishing in the face of repeated layoffs and the proliferation of artificial intelligence. 

That’s why the FIRE movement appeals to millions of people around the world, because it seems to offer a solution. A way to regain control.

But the core tenet of financial independence was never about never working again – it was about never needing to work out of fear or survival.

So instead of running towards an arbitrary finish line, consider the path you’re on instead. Is there a way to redesign the way work fits into your life now? 

We don’t have to wait until we retire, whether it’s early or not.

Dawn Cher, also known as SG Budget Babe, has been running a popular blog on personal finance for the last 10 years.



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Thursday, May 8, 2025

China's quantum computing industry has developed replicable, iterative engineering production capabilities: developer

 

A model of Origin Wukong, China's independently developed third-generation superconducting quantum computer Photo: VCG


China's quantum computing industry has made new progress. Recently, Chinese startup Origin Quantum in Hefei, East China's Anhui Province, launched Origin Tianji 4.0, a self-developed superconducting quantum measurement and control system that supports 500-plus-qubit quantum computers. The progress indicates that China's quantum computing industry has achieved replicable and iterative engineering production capabilities, laying the foundation for the mass production of hundred-bit quantum computers, Kong Weicheng, head of the system's development team, told the Global Times.

Dubbed the "nerve centers" of quantum computers, measurement and control systems manage precise signal generation, acquisition, and control for quantum chips. In 2018, Kong's team developed the first domestically produced quantum computer control system with completely independent intellectual property rights, filling a gap in the domestic quantum computing measurement and control field.

The latest Origin Tianji 4.0 system can effectively shorten the development and delivery time for quantum computers at the hundred-bit scale, while enhancing the system's automation capabilities and long-term stability, according to Kong, who is also deputy director of Anhui Quantum Computing Engineering Research Center.  

Previously, China relied heavily on imports for high-end instruments and equipment, and we could only use traditional commercial instruments to build our quantum computing measurement and control systems, with signal output and acquisition tasks being conducted separately. This approach was not only costly and redundant in functionality, but also had drawbacks such as poor compatibility and difficulty in integration, Kong told the Global Times. 

"Now, after multiple iterations, China's quantum computing measurement and control system has improved in terms of product scalability, integration, performance stability, and automation level. What we need to do is to go from nothing to something, and from something to a usable and durable product," Kong said. 

The Origin Tianjin 4.0 system was built and upgraded based on its preceding 3.0 version, which powers Origin Wukong, China's independently developed third-generation superconducting quantum computer. 

Since it went into operation on January 6, 2024, Origin Wukong has served users in 139 countries and regions over 26 million times, and completed more than 380,000 quantum computing tasks, covering a wide range of industries from finance to biomedicine, the Global Times learned from the team. 

According to Kong, in recent years, the process of quantum computing industrialization has been growing rapidly around the world. Eight years ago, Barclays Bank began to explore the application scenarios of quantum technology in the financial sector. Subsequently, leading international financial institutions such as JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs formed quantum research teams to explore quantum computing applications.

Domestically, quantum computing has been explored in various industries, including national defense and security, biopharmaceuticals, energy materials, artificial intelligence, financial markets, and transportation and aviation. However, "there is still a significant gap from the industry's expectations for exponential acceleration and leaps in computing power," Kong said. 

According to Kong, the development of quantum computers is influenced by various factors such as hardware devices, cooling environments, and temperature, and these challenges require cross-disciplinary collaboration, including efforts in ecological construction and other dimensions. - Global Times In Depth

Friday, January 17, 2025

2025: A really bad year for non-property owners

Wealth gap could widen for those without homes

As we usher in 2025, Malaysia’s property market is on a bullish trajectory. However, while this spells good news for property owners and investors, it is shaping up to be a tough year for those who have yet to get on the property ownership ladder.

Let’s explore why this year might be a turning point for tenants and non-property owners—and why waiting any longer to invest could widen the wealth gap even further.

Setting the stage

The year 2024 marked the beginning of the property market’s recovery after the pandemic-induced slump. Several key factors contributed to this rebound:

  • Low inflation and unemployment: Inflation remained at a modest 1.9%, while the unemployment rate dropped to its lowest since the lockdowns at 3.2%.
  • Foreign direct investment (FDI) growth: Malaysia’s government actively pursued policies to attract foreign investment, bolstered by political stability and a weak ringgit, making Malaysian assets more appealing.
  • Stable interest rates: The US Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 0.25% helped usher in a lower-interest environment globally.

These factors collectively fuelled a surge in property transactions and higher rental rates. The National Property Information Centre (NAPIC) reported that property transactions reached record highs in Q1 to Q3 2024, with 311,211 units sold, valued at RM162.96bil — a 6.2% increase in volume and a 14.3% increase in value year-on-year.

Why 2025 could be worse for non-owners

With property prices and rentals on the rise, non-property owners face a growing challenge. In some areas, rental rates have increased by as much as 20% year-on-year. The Home Rental Index rose by 5.5%, reflecting sustained demand, especially in urban centres like the Klang Valley.

These rising costs are driven by several factors:

  • Undersupply of New Launches: Developers have slowed the pace of new launches due to heightened scrutiny following recent structural issues, such as the sinkhole incident. This supply constraint is expected to persist for the next few years, driving rental demand higher.
  • Rising Demand from Foreign Investors: With the ringgit at a historic low, foreign investors are snapping up properties in Malaysia, particularly in prime areas like KLCC, Bangsar and Bukit Bintang. This influx has increased rental yields, making it harder for local tenants to afford.
  • Infrastructure Projects: The government’s ambitious infrastructure projects, such as Bandar Malaysia, will further boost property demand. KLCC Properties has been appointed as the master developer for this project and I anticipate that it will replicate its successful development model from Kuala Lumpur City Centre.

Economic stability driving confidence

Malaysia’s improving economic fundamentals continue to drive property investment. Household debt remains manageable at 70% of GDP while loan approvals for personal loans, vehicle financing and credit cards are at their highest levels in years.

This strong credit environment indicates that Malaysians are financially equipped to invest in property, despite rising prices. Personal wealth growth, coupled with a stable government and promising job market, provides further confidence.

NAPIC’s Q3 2024 data paints a clear picture of the market’s momentum:

  • 112,000 property transactions in Q3 2024: This represents a 3% increase year-on-year.
  • Total transaction value of RM57.3bil: Up 13.7% from Q3 2023.
  • Residential sub-sector growth: Property sales reached 192,484 units valued at RM78.17 billion in Q1 to Q3 2024, marking a 4.9% and 6.9% increase, respectively.
  • Overhang properties reduced by 15.2%: The total overhang dropped to 21,968 units, down from its peak in recent years.

Despite these gains, Kuala Lumpur, Perak and Johor respectively remain the states with the highest overhang units, highlighting that not all markets are equally buoyant.

Rental market trends

Rental rates have been steadily climbing, driven by increased demand and a constrained supply of new properties. In Klang Valley, rental yields have risen dramatically as workers return to the city post-pandemic and international tenants seek accommodation in prime locations.

The short-stay rental market, such as Airbnb, has also rebounded. Weaker ringgit values have increased domestic tourism, further driving demand for short-term rentals.

Based on current trends, the property bull run is expected to begin this year and continue beyond. Key predictions for this year include:

  • Transaction volumes: Maintaining a 10% variance compared to the average of 2022–2024 transaction levels.
  • Rental growth: Particularly in Tier 1 areas, where undersupply continues to push prices up.
  • Property values: Anticipated to rise to their highest rate in four years.
  • New launches: Expected to return to pre-pandemic levels as developers regain confidence.

Bad news for tenants

For tenants and those without property assets, 2025 looks set to widen the wealth gap further. Rising rental rates, increasing property values and constrained supply mean that the cost of not owning property will only grow over time.

With mega infrastructure projects like Bandar Malaysia set to transform the landscape and foreign investment continuing to flow into the country, the property market’s upward trajectory shows no signs of slowing down. Property ownership is no longer just about having a home—it is about securing financial stability and capitalising on Malaysia’s growth story.

For those still sitting on the sidelines, the window of opportunity is narrowing. The longer one waits to enter the property market, the more expensive and challenging it will become to catch up. In 2025, not owning property could be the biggest financial setback for Malaysians.


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‘Good year for property’


Frank Knight Malaysia's Wong said Johor is an obvious market that is expected to grow.

KUALA LUMPUR: The property market is poised for growth in 2025, with a significant focus on industrial property which will be underpinned by supporting government policies and increase in foreign direct investments (FDIs), says Knight Frank Malaysia executive director of research and consultancy Amy Wong Siew Fong.

The increase in FDIs will lead to a higher number of multinational companies opting to kick start operations and thus drive the economy.

Citing a recent report conducted by Knight Frank titled “Real Estate Highlights”, Wong said respondents had ranked data centres, industrial and logistics as the top three growing real estate investment sectors for 2024.

“Moving into 2025, the green light is for data centres, industrial and logistics, while office, hospitality and retail are rather stagnant,” she said during a panel session at the 18th Bursa-Hong Leong Investment Bank (HLIB) stratum focus series here yesterday.

She highlighted that aside from the Klang Valley, Johor is an obvious market that is expected to grow, especially considering the development of the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone (JS-SEZ) followed by Penang.

However, in terms of investment, Wong pointed out that despite the Iskandar region playing a huge role for the JS-SEZ, the market may not be as exciting as the Johor Baru City Centre area.

“If you are talking about the JS-SEZ, I think the industrial sector will continue to be a key sector to look at and manufacturers will continue to look into areas surrounding Senai and Kulai – which always have consistent demand due to its good fundamentals,” she said.

Wong said there has also been an increase in interest in the Sarawak and Sabah region, considering its strong drive towards the green agenda.

Asked about expected downside risks for the year, Wong said there are factors that are impossible to predict such as changes in policies and rate cuts.

“With all these chess pieces in place, I think 2025 is going to be a good year for the property market,” she said.

Sharing the same optimism, HLIB group managing director and chief executive officer Lee Jim Leng said affordability remains a key factor for the property market moving forward.

“In 2025, we are expecting higher wages for civil servants and the introduction of a higher minimum wage.

“The incremental increase in disposable income is a much welcome factor in catalysing demand and raising affordability for properties across the country,” she said, adding that the current 3% overnight policy rate and stable mortgage rates are also expected to bode well for the property sector.Positive indicators such as stable employment growth rate and an expected gross domestic product growth of 4.9% for 2025, are expected to provide the right conditions for sustained growth within the property sector.

According to the National Property Information Centre, Malaysia’s property transaction values soared to RM105.65bil in the first half of 2024, marking an impressive 23.8% year-on-year growth and the highest in five years.

As of the nine months of 2024, the number was noted to have increased to RM162.96bil.

The Kuala Lumpur Property Index has increased by 31.17% in 2024 and the residential overhang situation was noted to have improved, with a 12.3% reduction in volume of unsold properties.

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Malaysian property market poised for steady growth in 2025





Saturday, December 14, 2024

Heralding the Golden Age of Cryptocurrency


 ■ Presidentelect Donald Trump’s embrace of cryptocurrencies marks a pivotal moment

■ Analysts projecting Bitcoin to reach US$200,000 by end-2025

■ The outlook for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market is overwhelmingly positive, but risks remain

THE cryptocurrency world is buzzing with speculation that bitcoin could reach an unprecedented US$200,000 by 2025. While bitcoin has yet to stabilise around the US$100,000 mark, its meteoric rise in 2024 has emboldened investors and analysts to project a bullish future for the world’s leading digital asset.

Bitwise Asset Management, a prominent voice in the crypto sphere, has described the upcoming year as the Golden Age of Crypto.

According to the firm, the regulatory landscape in the United States has significantly improved following the 2024 US elections. President-elect Donald Trump’s embrace of cryptocurrencies marks a pivotal moment.

“We believe we are entering the Golden Age of Crypto,” Bitwise analysts, led by chief investment officer Matt Hougan and head of research Ryan Rasmussen, state in the group’s report.

Bitwise expects Crypto’s magnificent three – Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solanato – to hit new all-time highs in 2025, with bitcoin leading the rise to trade above US$200,000.

In addition to Bitwise, other analysts projecting bitcoin to reach US$200,000 include Geoff Kendrick, head of crypto research at Standard Chartered, and analysts at Bernstein, led by Gautam Chhugani.

Kendrick forecasts that bitcoin could hit this milestone by the end of 2025, driven by institutional investments in bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFS).

In a recent note, he stated that Standard Chartered’s target of US$200,000 by 2025 is “achievable”, adding: “We would become even more bullish if bitcoin experienced accelerated adoption by US retirement funds, global sovereign wealth funds, or the establishment of a potential US strategic reserve fund.

“We anticipate institutional flows to continue at or exceed the pace set in 2024. Microstrategy, for instance, is ahead of its Us$42bil threeyear plan, suggesting its purchases in 2025 will likely match or surpass those of 2024.”

Meanwhile, Bernstein’s analysts attribute their bitcoin price target of US$200,000 by end-2025 to unprecedented demand stemming from spot bitcoin ETFS managed by leading asset managers, according to media reports.

Trump effect

Essentially, crypto has emerged as a clear winner in the 2024 US elections, giving it a brighter regulatory outlook in the United States, Bitwise notes.

For one thing, Trump has announced plans to create a strategic bitcoin reserve and nominated Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary. Bessent’s earlier comment that “crypto is about freedom and the crypto economy is here to stay” reflects the administration’s pro-crypto stance. The reshuffling of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which has historically taken a sceptical view of digital assets, adds another layer of optimism.

Similarly, Bernstein analysts attribute bitcoin’s rise to Trump’s support for cryptocurrencies. They point out that his plan to position the United States as a global leader in the crypto space and his choice of Paul Atkins, a known crypto advocate, to lead the SEC have bolstered market confidence.

Record highs

Bitcoin has since cooled to below US$95,000 at the time of writing, after reaching an alltime high of US$103,992 earlier this month.

This marks a 141.72% increase year-to-date as of Dec 6, 2024. According to Bitwise, the surge was largely driven by the US launch of spot bitcoin ETFS, which set records with Us$33.6bil in inflows within their first year.

Other crypto assets, including Ethereum and Solana, also posted substantial year-to-date gains of 75.77% and 127.71%, respectively. This performance highlights how cryptocurrencies, led by bitcoin, ethereum and solana, have outpaced all major asset classes in 2024.

Crypto equities mirrored this bullish trend. Companies like Microstrategy and Coinbase saw their shares skyrocket by 525.39% and 97.57%, respectively. In comparison, traditional assets such as the S&P 500 and gold returned 28.07% and 27.65% over the same period, highlighting crypto’s dominance.

Catalysts for next milestone

The factors driving bitcoin’s trajectory towards US$200,000 are multifaceted, Bitwise highlights. The launch of bitcoin

ETFS in 2024 shattered expectations, and Bitwise believes 2025 will see even greater inflows.

“When US spot bitcoin ETFS launched in January 2024, ETF experts forecast the group to see Us$5bil to Us$15bil of inflows in their first year. They passed the higher end of that range within the first six months.

“Since launching, the record-setting ETFS have gathered Us$33.6bil in inflows. We expect 2025’s inflows to top that,” Bitwise says.

Drawing a parallel with gold ETFS launched in 2004, Bitwise notes that ETF inflows typically accelerate in subsequent years.

“The best historical analogy we have for the bitcoin ETF launch is the launch of gold ETFS in 2004. Flows petering out would be unusual,” it explains.

At present, major financial institutions such as Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, and Bank of America have yet to fully embrace bitcoin ETFS.

Bitwise anticipates this to change in 2025, unlocking a wave of institutional investments. “The trillions of dollars these firms manage will start flowing into bitcoin ETFS,” Bitwise predicts.

Risk tolerance

While bitcoin remains the focal point, other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Solana are also poised for substantial gains in 2025. Bitwise’s price targets for Ethereum and Solana are US$7,000 and US$750, respectively.

Ethereum, despite its impressive 2024 performance, has faced competition from fastergrowing programmable blockchains.

However, Bitwise anticipates a “narrative shift” as activity on

Layer 2 blockchains and spot Ethereum ETFS gain traction.

Solana’s resurgence, driven by memecoin mania in 2024, is also expected to continue as serious projects migrate to its network, it says.

Meanwhile, JP Morgan points out that the role of crypto in portfolio construction is mostly a function of risk tolerance.

“Cryptocurrencies are inherently unpredictable: there is little visibility into future price movements and blockchain technology, while exciting, also has few barriers to entry, meaning tokens can become obsolete (and therefore worthless) as new ones enter the market with improved functionality,” the US asset management company cautions.

“As a result, for most investors, any allocation to crypto in a portfolio should be kept both small enough to ensure that even in the event of a significant sell-off it does not derail overall portfolio objectives and well diversified,” it adds.

While the outlook for bitcoin and the broader crypto market is overwhelmingly positive, risks remain.

Regulatory clarity, though improving, is still a work in progress.

The global economic environment, including interest-rate policies and geopolitical tensions, could also impact investor sentiment.

However, the convergence of favourable regulatory developments, institutional adoption and technological advancements positions bitcoin as a strong contender to achieve new heights, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape.

By CECILIA kok cecilia_kok@thestar.com.my

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